With Modi as leader, BJP will sweep UP in LS polls: LensOnNews survey

published on May 23, 2013

WITH NARENDRA MODI moving to the forefront of national politics and receiving accolades for every speech and every public appearance that he makes, it’s only a question of time before the BJP announces that it will fight the next Lok Sabha polls under his leadership as its PM candidate. Possibly the announcement will come as early as at the two-day national executive meet at Goa on June 8-9.

Against this backdrop, a poll has been conducted by the popular news website LensOnNews.com to gauge the right-wing party’s prospects in the heartland state of UP – which sends the largest contingent of 80 MPs to the Lok Sabha. The survey was designed to explore the two scenarios: the outcome of the coming Lok Sabha election in UP if the BJP were not to declare any PM candidate; and secondly if it were to go into the elections under the leadership of Modi as its candidate for PM.

The survey findings show that the BJP would be a big gainer in the second scenario – ie if it fights the elections under Modi’s leadership. In the first scenario (without any declared candidate for PM), the BJP would be in the third position in a four-cornered contest, behind Mulayam Singh’s SP and Mayawati’s BSP, with the Congress bringing up the rear.

The picture changes dramatically in the second scenario with Narendra Modi as the declared candidate for PM. The BJP vaults to the first place with a 33 percent vote share (against only 20 per cent in the first scenario) and as many as 47 seats of UP’s total of 80 (against only 19 seats otherwise). BJP’s increased share of seats and votes would come at the cost of all the other three contenders, SP, BSP and Congress – in that order.

Read detailed Analysis by Lens on News@


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